Tag Archives: MSFI Index

It would be nice if sector share prices anticipated economic trends

There is some evidence – but not a lot – that the stock market anticipates trends in economic activity, pruning back share prices when a downturn is expected and cautiously lifting those prices back upwards when better times are seen to be on the horizon.

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It can still pay to invest in marcoms…occasionally

Figures published last week showed just how widely (and wildly) the prices of shares in the marcoms sector have fluctuated in the depressed market conditions of last year.  As the FTSE All-Share Index struggled to recover with a modest rise of  11.6% and the sector’s MSFI Index put on only 5.3%, observers could be forgiven for wondering why anyone would either seek a stock market listing or invest in the sector.

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Why many marcoms companies may lack stock market appeal

The reluctance of shares in many UK marcoms companies that are listed on the stock exchange to follow the encouraging upward trend experienced by the FTSE All-Share Index over recent months will reinforce the view that the stock market is not the best place for entrepreneurs in the industry to realise the wealth they have created.   And that is a pity.

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Share prices of three marcoms companies have tripled since last year’s low

Further evidence – if ever it was required – that well regarded marketing services companies’ share prices run ahead of (and over-react to) underlying economic conditions is provided by the movement in their share prices since the stock market’s low point in March last year.

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And now for some good news…

Share prices of marcoms companies that comprise Fintellect’s MSFI Index have begun to recover at a faster rate than the FTSE All-Share Index.  But there’s a big gap to fill.  The MSFI Index has gradually improved since February while the FTSE All-Share Index has risen and then fallen back again (see chart).  The FTSE All-Share Index showed a net gain of 5.6% in the three months to 12 May while the MSFI Index grew by 6.9%.

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